February 15, 2002
Flash 6 penetration prediction
A couple Flash version penetration comments by Macromedians on the Flasher list.
"Regarding penetration stats: The Flash 4 Player is over 90%, the Flash 5 Player is over 80%. Based on runrates, we expect for the Flash 6 Player to have at least 75% coverage of internet connected personal computers within just 12 months. We hope to go faster."
"For penetration, the adoption rate has *accelerated* with each version. That's the nature of a successful web technology. The Macromedia Flash Player 5 reached majority consumer viewership within six months of its release... although the March'01 numbers are no longer online, you can still get a sense of this acceleration here."
Keep in mind that a "majority consumer viewership" starts at 51%. ;)Posted by Lewis Francis at February 15, 2002 11:36 PM